All Entries Tagged With: "proprty values"
San Bernardino County
Home Sales San Bernardino County
Home Values vs. Commercial. San Bernardino County commercial property is being hit hard by the current real estate slump and we believe will continue this trend. The following paragraphs come from “CoStar Group, #1 Commercial Real Estate Information Company” and reflect the national market. Please note California’s prominence in the lists and specifically, San Bernardino as well:
Retail Space Availability Reaches All-Time High
The nation’s retail market posted negative quarterly net absorption for the first time, along with the highest vacancy and availability rates, since CoStar Group began tracking retail trends in 2000, according to the Bethesda, MD-based company’s first-quarter 2009 retail review and forecast.
CoStar’s research shows that the average days a retail space is listed on the market as “available for lease” has continued to rise — from 174 days in first-quarter 2006 to 370 days in first-quarter 2009…Unfortunately, CoStar is forecasting that the retail vacancy rate will continue to climb…Spivey showed that the average sale price per square foot has dropped from $235 to $125 since the recession started, while the average time a property spends on the market has increased from about 255 to 334 days.
CoStar forecasts that sometime in the next two to three years, the average retail cap rate could hit a level that is 400 basis points higher than where it was at the start of the recession. If that happens, the average cap rate would be around 11% (a high not seen since 1994), which would create better margins for buyers and should fuel transaction activity. Additionally, CoStar forecasts that the average sale price per square foot could go as low as 70% off pre-recession pricing and sales volume could end up as much as 90% off pre-recession activity, sometime in the next two to three years.
Okay, things are bad nationally but what about California? Here it is:
Spivey identified Los Angeles and Atlanta as having more excess retail inventory than any other markets…The markets with the largest first quarter increase in the average retail vacancy rate: Las Vegas (+154bps), South Bay / San Jose (+113bps), Baltimore (112bps), Inland Empire CA (+111bps), Southwest FL (+98bps), Phoenix (+94bps), Atlanta (+94bps), Sacramento (+89bps), Oklahoma City (+82bps), and Orange County CA (+82bps)…During first quarter, the markets that saw the largest net amount of retail space become vacant, as a percentage of total retail rentable building area (RBA), in order, were: South Bay / San Jose, Las Vegas, Inland Empire CA, Sacramento, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, San Diego, Phoenix, Oklahoma City, and Nashville.
The road ahead is a bumpy one indeed. If you want to ensure the greates possible savings on one of the largest expenses that affect your bottom line, contact us today at (909) 867-5000 or fill out the form below.
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